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What Drove the Surge of DeepSeek?

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At the start of the Spring Festival period, a notable term capturing the attention of the Chinese populace emerged: DeepSeekThis surge in popularity is not a mere coincidence; it stems from significant technological breakthroughs, strategic market maneuvers, and the favorable climate of contemporary opportunitiesIn this article, we delve into the layers behind DeepSeek's meteoric rise, examining the pivotal factors contributing to its prominence.

Firstly, let us explore the technological advancements that reached a tipping pointDeepSeek’s R1 model stands out for implementing a revolutionary "adaptive neuron activation" techniqueThis innovation enables the model to monitor data streams and disable up to 90% of redundant neurons dynamically, dramatically reducing energy consumption during training sessions to just 32% of what is required for OpenAI's GPT-4, according to benchmarks from MITThis method mimics the human brain’s synaptic pruning, which empirically resulted in a 67% power reduction while maintaining comparable accuracy in benchmark tests such as ImageNet.

Additionally, DeepSeek’s self-developed “knowledge distillation compression engine” showcases further innovationThis algorithm allowed for the compression of massively parameterized models – from trillions down to billions of parameters – without sacrificing performanceFor instance, in the GLUE benchmark test, DeepSeek's model with 70 billion parameters outperformed Meta's LLaMA-2, which has 65 billion parameters, while simultaneously achieving threefold improvements in inference speedThese innovations highlight a robust technical foundation upon which DeepSeek has built its offerings.

Moreover, one of the key strategies employed by DeepSeek has been the establishment of a closed-loop data ecosystem, forged through partnerships with major domestic platforms such as Douyin and PinduoduoThis collaboration has yielded a treasure trove of over 80 million hours of real user interaction data

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By employing advanced adversarial data cleansing techniques, DeepSeek has been able to enhance its model training efficiency by 40% by eliminating low-quality dataThis solid foundation of data acquisition and utilization provides a stark competitive advantage as it fuels the model with rich, quality datasets.

Shifting focus, we note the political landscape impacting DeepSeek’s rapid ascentThe company has adeptly positioned itself within the “domestic substitution” policy framework advocated by the Chinese governmentFor instance, its deep involvement in the "Eastern Data, Western Computing" project has secured preferential access to computation capabilities that surpass 58.7 quintillion operations per second (5.87 EFLOPS) in strategic data centers located in cities like Guiyang and Ulanqab, significantly reducing training costs to only a fifth compared to market standards.

Further aligning with the self-reliant technology trajectory proposed by the government, DeepSeek's "Taihang" training framework has demonstrated compatibility with Huawei’s Ascend 910B chipsAchieving a linear acceleration ratio of 92.3% across a 1024-card cluster, it has outperformed NVIDIA's A100, which achieves 89.7%. This feat represents a critical breakthrough in the efficiency of domestically produced chips for distributed training processes.

The financial landscape surrounding DeepSeek reflects another layer of its strategic advantage, as the company successfully navigated a "reverse harvesting" strategy within capital marketsNotably, notable investment firms such as Sequoia China and Hillhouse Capital injected $2.3 billion into DeepSeek's growth, inflating its valuation to an astonishing $18 billionUtilizing a Variable Interest Entity (VIE) structure, DeepSeek cleverly navigates the complexities associated with the Foreign Companies Accountability Act, thereby mitigating associated risks.

There is also a strong push into the secondary market correlated with its ambitions

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Collaborations with brokerage firm Guotai Junan have led to the issuance of “AI computing power income certificates,” transforming model usage into a tradable securityThe first tranche of products offered an annual yield of up to 9.8%, generating immense interest and attracting over 12 billion RMB from retail investors.

Moreover, DeepSeek's business model enforces its dominance through an industrial chain bundling strategyPartners are obligated to utilize designated domestic server models, such as Inspur’s NF5888M6, which bolsters profitability margins to 68%, significantly above the industry average of approximately 45%. This bundling serves to enhance both product uptake and revenue generation.

DeepSeek has also mastered the art of "tragic marketing," leveraging public sentiment and narratives surrounding technological isolationFollowing a report by Bloomberg regarding a "chip investigation," DeepSeek's official social media account dispatched a heartfelt letter to global developersThe letter underscored the hardship faced by developers "writing code in the shadow of an entity list," resulting in a staggering 120 million shares within just 24 hoursThis astute maneuver exemplifies how the company effectively mobilizes public emotion to generate support and awareness.

While the advantages presenting themselves to DeepSeek are considerable, potential risks loom largeCritics have raised questions regarding the depth of its technological moat, casting doubt over the sustainability of its innovationsThe sparse computing technology proudly championed by DeepSeek is, in fact, a derivative improvement of Google’s Pathways architectureReports from the Stanford AI Index have noted that as much as 63% of DeepSeek's patents consist of utility models, indicating an apparent lack of foundational innovation.

Furthermore, there are signs of an emerging capital bubbleData from the Qianhai Capital Research Center indicates that DeepSeek's price-to-sales ratio has skyrocketed to 58 times, drastically surpassing OpenAI's 22 times

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